Abstract/Text: PURPOSE: Molecular diagnostics and early assessment of treatment response that use methodologies capable of detecting submicroscopic disease can distinguish subgroups of patients with leukemia at differing relapse risk. Such information is being incorporated into risk-stratified protocols; however, there are few data concerning prospective use of sequential minimal residual disease (MRD) monitoring to identify more precisely those patients destined to experience relapse, which would allow more tailored therapies.
METHODS: Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RQ-PCR) assays to detect leukemia-specific transcripts (ie, PML-RARA, RARA-PML) were used to prospectively analyze 6,727 serial blood and marrow samples from 406 patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) who were receiving all-trans-retinoic acid and anthracycline-based chemotherapy.
RESULTS: MRD monitoring according to the recommended schedule successfully identified the majority of patients subject to relapse and provided the most powerful predictor of relapse-free survival (RFS) in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio, 17.87; 95% CI, 6.88 to 46.41; P < .0001); MRD monitoring was far superior to presenting WBC (hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.03; P = .02), which is currently widely used to guide therapy. In patients who were predicted to experience relapse on the basis of MRD monitoring, early treatment intervention with arsenic trioxide prevented progression to overt relapse in the majority, and the RFS rate at 1 year from molecular relapse was 73%. By using this strategy, 3-year cumulative incidence of clinical relapse was only 5% in the Medical Research Council AML15 trial.
CONCLUSION: Rigorous sequential RQ-PCR monitoring provides the strongest predictor of RFS in APL and, when coupled with pre-emptive therapy, provides a valid strategy to reduce rates of clinical relapse. This provides a model for development of a more individualized approach to management of other molecularly defined subtypes of acute leukemia.

Abstract/Text: PURPOSE: We conducted a multicenter study of differentiation therapy with all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA) followed by intensive chemotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) and analyzed the prognostic factors for predicting complete remission (CR), event-free survival (EFS), and disease-free survival (DFS).
PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients received ATRA until CR. If patients had an initial leukocyte count greater than 3.0 x 10(9)/L, they received daunorubicin (DNR) and behenoyl cytarabine (BHAC). During therapy, if patients showed blast and promyelocyte counts greater than 1.0 x 10(9)/L, they received additional DNR and BHAC. After achieving CR, patients received three courses of consolidation and six courses of maintenance/intensification chemotherapy.
RESULTS: Of 198 registered, 196 were assessable (age range, 15 to 86 years; median, 46) and 173 (88%) achieved CR. Multivariate analysis showed that no or minor purpura at diagnosis (P = .0046) and age less than 30 years (P = .0076) were favorable factors for achievement of CR. Predicted 4-year overall survival and EFS rates were 74% and 54%, respectively, and the 4-year predicted DFS rate for 173 CR patients was 62%. Multivariate analysis showed that age less than 30 years (P = .0003) and initial leukocyte count less than 10 x 10(9)/L (P = .0296) were prognostic factors for longer EFS, and initial leukocyte count less than 10.0 x 10(9)/L was a sole significant prognostic factor for longer DFS (P = .0001).
CONCLUSION: Our results show that age, hemorrhagic diathesis, and initial leukocyte count are prognostic factors for APL treated with ATRA followed by intensive chemotherapy.